Pacers vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 20

  • The Pacers are -9.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Pistons Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 36-31 against the spread, while the Pistons are 33-33 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-10.5 -110O 235.5 -110-500
Detroit Pistons +10.5 -110U 235.5 -110+375

Pistons vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Wednesday‘s game with 85.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Pistons.

Pistons vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 43 games (+19.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 away games (+13.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 37 away games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+11.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 36-31 (+1.9 Units / 2.47% ROI).

  • 38-32 against the Moneyline (-5.3 Units / -4.09% ROI)
  • 33-35 against the Over for game total points (-5.55 Units / -7.31% ROI)
  • 35-33 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.71% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 33-33 (-3.3 Units / -4.41% ROI).

  • 12-56 against the Moneyline (-30 Units / -41.81% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.88% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.07% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 78 games (-36.90 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 63 games (-19.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 59 games (-26.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 43 games (-25.25 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-19.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 61 games (-19.50 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pacers are 23-6 (.793) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 18-7 (.720) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .632

The Pacers are 32-48 (.400) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons were 8-30 (.211) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pistons are 4-69 (.055) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .362

Injury Report: Pistons vs. PacersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 20

  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,606 points/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Pacers have averaged 30.5 assists per game (2,103 assists/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers are shooting 50% (3,217/6,377) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,740 assists/ 1,137 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons averaged 108.3 points per game (4,440 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have allowed 58.7 points in the paint per game (4,048 points/69 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.5

The Pacers have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,312 rebounds/69 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers blocked 478 shots last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (421 steals/68 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (331 blocks/68 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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