Pistons vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

  • The Hawks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | FDDT

The Detroit Pistons visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA, USA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Hawks Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 23-19 against the spread, while the Hawks are 18-24 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+2.5 -110O 235.5 -105+120
Atlanta Hawks -2.5 -110U 235.5 -115-145

Hawks vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 65.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Hawks.

Hawks vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 69.0% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 51 of their last 80 games (+21.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 76 games (+20.83 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 73 games (+20.44 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+16.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+15.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 59 games (+21.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 78 games (+14.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 23-19 (+2.1 Units / 4.44% ROI).

  • 22-21 against the Moneyline (+10.85 Units / 19.64% ROI)
  • 22-19 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 2.33% ROI)
  • 19-22 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -10.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 18-24 (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 22-20 against the Moneyline (+15.15 Units / 25.1% ROI)
  • 26-16 against the Over for game total points (+8.4 Units / 18.18% ROI)
  • 16-26 against the Under for game total points (-12.6 Units / -27.27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-18.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-32.40 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 73 games (-26.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.67 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 75 games (-17.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 82 games (-16.50 Units / -18% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Pistons are 19-102 (.157) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 7-25 (.219) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Hawks are 29-5 (.853) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Hawks are 18-2 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820

The Hawks were 5-7 (.417) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Hawks were 10-28 (.263) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,317 assists/ 1,415 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons have averaged 18.1 fast break points per game (779 points/43 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Pistons have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Pistons had a TS% of 50% last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks have averaged 15.1 second chance points per game (633 points/42 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Hawks averaged 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,492 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Hawks have a 26% free throw rate (999 free throw attempts/3,874 field goal attempts) this season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.8 steals per game (846 steals/125 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pistons have averaged 7.3 steals per game (315 steals/43 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have averaged 6.6 steals per game (403 steals/61 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (321/793) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 10.3 steals per game (431 steals/42 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks allowed 8.5 fast break points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.