Pistons vs Magic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Magic (24-35) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (15-44)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Thursday, February 23, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSFL & BSDETX

The Detroit Pistons visit Amway Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Pistons vs Magic Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 25-31 against the spread, while the Magic are 33-24 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+7.5 -115O 229.5 -105+230
Orlando Magic -7.5 -105U 229.5 -105-275

Magic vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Magic will win Thursday‘s game with 65.6% confidence.

Magic vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Magic, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 70 games (+20.67 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 83 games (+19.18 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 41 away games (+16.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+13.16 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.58 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+25.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+15.02 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 51 games (+13.59 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 25-31 (-9.15 Units / -14.09% ROI).

  • 15-44 against the Moneyline (-12.1 Units / -19.41% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 3.54% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.63% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 33-24 (+6.65 Units / 10.25% ROI).

  • 24-35 against the Moneyline (+16.95 Units / 26.69% ROI)
  • 29-30 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -6.16% ROI)
  • 30-29 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.93% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.72 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-17.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 43 games at home (-16.95 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 81 games (-12.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 76 games (-30.56 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-25.22 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 73 games (-23.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.69 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 76 games (-18.85 Units / -22% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Pistons are 4-27 (.129) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pistons are 10-35 (.222) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Pistons are 7-34 (.171) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Pistons are 2-33 (.057) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Magic are 3-39 (.071) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

The Magic are 21-45 (.318) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Magic are 13-42 (.236) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Magic are 16-44 (.267) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

Injury Report: Magic vs. PistonsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Orlando Magic – No Injuries Reported
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): Bagley III is doubtful for Thursday’s (Feb.23) game against Orlando.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (2,567/5,902) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,347/12,157) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have 26.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 43% (4,087/9,387) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Magic averaged 104.0 points per game (7,488 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Magic have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,005 points/9,231 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Magic have an eFG% of 50% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,730 rebounds/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Pistons have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (207 blocks/56 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 31.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,748 rebounds/56 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Pistons have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,373 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (477 blocks/105 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Magic have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,446 steals/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,724 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Magic have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (313 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.