- The Heat are -7.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | TSN
The Toronto Raptors visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami, FL.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The Raptors vs Heat Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 13-6 against the spread, while the Heat are 7-9 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Toronto Raptors | +7.5 -105 | O 219.5 -115 | +260 |
| Miami Heat | -7.5 -115 | U 219.5 -105 | -350 |
Heat vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 79.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Heat.
Heat vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+11.29 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 47 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.67 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.37 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 games (+15.32 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 13-6 (+6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI).
- 5-14 against the Moneyline (-4.3 Units / -22.51% ROI)
- 9-10 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI)
- 10-9 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 7-9 (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).
- 8-8 against the Moneyline (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
- 8-8 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 8-8 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.95 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-23.25 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 32 games at home (-18.55 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 82 games (-32.45 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.11 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.15 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-14.65 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 82 games (-13.90 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat
- Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Raptors are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419
The Raptors are 9-43 (.173) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Raptors are 11-38 (.224) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Heat are undefeated (8-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895
The Heat are 18-2 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.
The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Heat are 3-10 (.231) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 20.6 fast break points per game (1,009 points/49 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Raptors have averaged 20.0 fast break points per game (1,803 points/90 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Raptors have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (1,875 points/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6
The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (9,433 points/178 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat have averaged 6.0 second chance points per game (578 points/96 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 110.1 points per game (9,032 points/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,975 rebounds/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Raptors have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,360 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Raptors have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (591 rebounds/17 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Raptors stole the ball 633 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (292 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (578 blocks/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (335 blocks/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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