Raptors vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Pistons are -3.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | SNT

The Toronto Raptors visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Pistons Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 30-34 against the spread, while the Pistons are 31-31 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+3.5 -110O 232.5 -110+135
Detroit Pistons -3.5 -110U 232.5 -110-160

Pistons vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Wednesday‘s game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Pistons.

Pistons vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 24 away games (+14.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+14.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 30-34 (-7.4 Units / -10.35% ROI).

  • 23-42 against the Moneyline (-24.05 Units / -25.21% ROI)
  • 35-30 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.79% ROI)
  • 30-35 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -11.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 31-31 (-3.1 Units / -4.4% ROI).

  • 11-53 against the Moneyline (-28 Units / -41.67% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -8.95% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 77 games (-37.90 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 77 games (-17.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-16.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 46 games (-16.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 77 games (-28.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 70 games (-20.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 60 games (-20.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.40 Units / -21% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 4-17 (.190) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Raptors are 5-22 (.185) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

The Raptors were 18-19 (.486) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons were 8-30 (.211) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pistons are winless (0-23) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Pistons are 13-48 (.213) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Pistons vs. RaptorsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,409 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (488 points/54 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons averaged 21.6 assists per game (886 assists/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Pistons averaged 110.3 points per game (9,045 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (652 assists/ 405 TOs) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,451 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (303 steals/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (563 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 6.9 steals per game (467 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.