- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on NSBA | SNET
The Toronto Raptors visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Raptors vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 41-26 against the spread, while the Warriors are 36-32 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Toronto Raptors | O | ||
| Golden State Warriors | U |
Warriors vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Warriors.
Warriors vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+14.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+14.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+14.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 23 away games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 41-26 (+12.4 Units / 16.33% ROI).
- 24-45 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units / -4.22% ROI)
- 35-34 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI)
- 34-35 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-32 (+0.7 Units / 0.92% ROI).
- 40-29 against the Moneyline (-10.25 Units / -5.95% ROI)
- 34-35 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI)
- 35-34 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 59 games (-33.05 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.67 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 70 games (-20.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 53 games (-19.05 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 54 games (-18.50 Units / -14% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-20.83 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 61 games (-17.56 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.40 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 39 away games (-15.70 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 82 games (-12.25 Units / -13% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors
- Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Raptors are 16-60 (.211) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Raptors are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .392
The Raptors are 5-56 (.082) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225
The Raptors are 5-24 (.172) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 54.8 rebounds/game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Warriors are 26-12 (.684) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game this season — T-5th-highest in the NBA.
The Warriors are 20-4 (.833) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Warriors are undefeated (9-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .751
The Warriors are 17-4 (.810) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Raptors averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (779 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (3,138 points/69 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9
The Warriors averaged 1.25 points per shot (1,365 points/1,093 shots) in close and late situations last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Warriors have averaged 1.25 points per shot (7,817 points/6,267 shots) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Warriors have a TS% of 50% this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,387 rebounds/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Raptors have averaged 7.8 steals per game (541 steals/69 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Raptors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (302 blocks/69 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Raptors stole the ball 633 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,481 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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