Raptors vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 23

  • The Wizards are -5.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | SNET

The Toronto Raptors visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Washington, DC.

The Wizards are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Raptors vs Wizards Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 30-39 against the spread, while the Wizards are 31-38 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+5.5 -105O 230.5 -105+180
Washington Wizards -5.5 -115U 230.5 -115-225

Wizards vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Wizards will win Saturday‘s game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Wizards.

Wizards vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 61.3% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 away games (+13.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+12.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 away games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 77 games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 30-39 (-12.9 Units / -16.75% ROI).

  • 23-47 against the Moneyline (-29.05 Units / -28.93% ROI)
  • 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 31-38 (-10.8 Units / -14.03% ROI).

  • 12-58 against the Moneyline (-34.8 Units / -47.8% ROI)
  • 35-34 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.12% ROI)
  • 34-35 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.84% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 76 games (-38.30 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 63 games (-21.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 11 of their last 34 games at home (-14.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 17 games (-14.30 Units / -81% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 64 games (-13.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 74 games (-32.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-22.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 65 games (-19.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 75 games (-19.30 Units / -21% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have made 13.4 three-pointers per game this season — T-9th-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors were undefeated (9-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Raptors are 11-20 (.355) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game this season — T-4th-lowest in the NBA.

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Wizards are 2-35 (.054) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Wizards are 5-18 (.217) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Wizards are 3-16 (.158) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Wizards are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .533

Injury Report: Wizards vs. RaptorsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 23

  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.4 fast break points per game (1,527 points/75 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7

The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (2,788 points/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Raptors have averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (1,327 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors have averaged 21.6 fast break points per game (733 points/34 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (707 points/37 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (641 points/70 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 17.5 fast break points per game (1,227 points/70 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Wizards have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (798 points/70 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,354 rebounds/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 18.3 second chance points per game (605 points/33 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7

The Wizards have allowed 16.8 second chance points per game (1,178 points/70 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,341 rebounds/70 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards have allowed 58.9 points in the paint per game (4,122 points/70 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.4


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