- The Grizzlies are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Houston Rockets visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Memphis, TN, USA.
The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Rockets vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 27-19 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 31-16 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | +5.5 -115 | O 237.5 -115 | +170 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | -5.5 -105 | U 237.5 -105 | -210 |
Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 72 games (+19.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 away games (+17.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 34 games (+16.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 70 games (+15.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 29 away games (+14.95 Units / 45% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 62 games (+18.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 42 games (+16.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 78 games (+15.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 27-19 (+6.1 Units / 12.06% ROI).
- 32-14 against the Moneyline (+6.3 Units / 6.02% ROI)
- 24-21 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.78% ROI)
- 21-24 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -10.5% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 31-16 (+13.4 Units / 25.97% ROI).
- 31-16 against the Moneyline (+8.35 Units / 7.98% ROI)
- 30-17 against the Over for game total points (+11.3 Units / 21.86% ROI)
- 17-30 against the Under for game total points (-16 Units / -30.95% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 62 games (-28.07 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.90 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 63 games (-18.15 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-16.40 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.30 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.80 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-18.62 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-17.90 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 82 games (-17.07 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 44 away games (-16.35 Units / -32% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Rockets are 7-24 (.226) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have made 13.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 2-39 (.049) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169
The Rockets are 7-55 (.113) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Grizzlies are 7-1 (.875) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Grizzlies are 25-6 (.806) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578
The Grizzlies are 31-16 (.660) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .496
The Grizzlies are 3-24 (.111) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets are shooting 26% from three (57/218) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets are shooting 40% (225/562) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have averaged 22.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,023 rebounds/46 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Grizzlies are shooting 27% from three (41/153) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,659 rebounds/46 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,633 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have allowed 19.5 offensive rebounds per game (917 rebounds/47 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.0
The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (788 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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