- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SCHN | SUN | NBAt
The Houston Rockets visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Rockets vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 39-31 against the spread, while the Heat are 30-38 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 79.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Heat.
Heat vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.
Bet now on Heat vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 away games (+17.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 39 away games (+16.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+15.03 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 69 games (+13.87 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 39-31 (+4.9 Units / 6.36% ROI).
- 45-25 against the Moneyline (-5.1 Units / -2.89% ROI)
- 36-33 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.39% ROI)
- 33-36 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.45% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 30-38 (-11.8 Units / -15.54% ROI).
- 29-40 against the Moneyline (-20.25 Units / -17.58% ROI)
- 36-33 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.4% ROI)
- 33-36 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -8.7% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 38 games (-23.60 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 48 games (-20.77 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-20.33 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 31 games (-17.75 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 74 games (-15.20 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.85 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 37 games (-15.70 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 84 games (-15.60 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-14.55 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .250
The Rockets are 14-2 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707
The Rockets were 3-19 (.136) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Rockets are 38-23 (.623) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Heat are 5-19 (.208) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Heat are 26-5 (.839) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have averaged 22.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,593 rebounds/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have averaged 18.7 second chance points per game (673 points/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 52.9 points per game (7,988 points/151 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (587 steals/70 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Rockets have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,226 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (256 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (262 blocks/69 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (542 blocks/151 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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