- The Rockets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
- Watch the game on SCHN | ALT
The Houston Rockets visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Rockets vs Nuggets Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 22-16 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 19-19 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | +1.5 -105 | O 229.5 -110 | +105 |
| Denver Nuggets | -1.5 -115 | U 229.5 -110 | -130 |
Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 72.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 64 games (+18.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 39 of their last 62 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 23 away games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+16.37 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 22-16 (+4.4 Units / 10.53% ROI).
- 26-12 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 3.31% ROI)
- 19-18 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.91% ROI)
- 18-19 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -6.71% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 19-19 (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI).
- 24-15 against the Moneyline (-2.4 Units / -2.59% ROI)
- 24-15 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
- 15-24 against the Under for game total points (-11.4 Units / -26.57% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-37.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 92 games (-30.95 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 54 games (-30.95 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 61 games (-25.30 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 91 games (-19.10 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 41 away games (-19.30 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 41 away games (-19.30 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 61 games (-15.97 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 59 games (-15.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 61 games (-14.85 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254
The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Rockets are 5-24 (.172) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351
The Rockets are 2-39 (.049) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets are 17-7 (.708) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (846 rebounds/38 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets are shooting 25% from three (45/182) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (149 assists/ 51 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (408 points/39 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Nuggets have averaged 58.4 points in the paint per game (2,276 points/39 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (787 points/39 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,783 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Rockets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,366 rebounds/120 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,449 rebounds/39 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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