Rockets vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 9

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers (29-37) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (15-50)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Thursday, March 9, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSIN & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Pacers Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 24-38 against the spread, while the Pacers are 36-30 against the spread.


Bet now on Pacers vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Rockets vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+9.5 -110O 236.5 -110+340
Indiana Pacers -9.5 -110U 236.5 -110-450

Pacers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Thursday‘s game with 69.5% confidence.

Pacers vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Pacers vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 away games (+12.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.94 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.47 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 46 of their last 73 games (+17.68 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 61 games (+14.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.22 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+10.74 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 24-38 (-17.8 Units / -24.9% ROI).

  • 15-50 against the Moneyline (-19.7 Units / -29.25% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 36-30 (+3 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 29-37 against the Moneyline (+5.05 Units / 6.44% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 80 games (-40.95 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 80 games (-36.80 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-23.55 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-21.03 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 53 games (-20.14 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 81 games (-29.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 74 games (-22.49 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 66 games (-18.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 67 games (-18.72 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-18.35 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Rockets are 3-18 (.143) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Rockets are 21-77 (.212) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Rockets are 4-38 (.095) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Rockets are 6-26 (.188) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Indiana Pacers are 25-43 (.368) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (1,937 turnovers/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 20-64 (.238) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276

The Pacers are 9-36 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .306

The Pacers are 46-65 (.414) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Pacers vs. RocketsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 9

  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.
  • Aaron Nesmith (Pacers): Nesmith is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.9) game against Houston.
  • Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. is out for Thursday’s (Mar. 9) game against Indiana.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,464 assists/ 1,620 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,396 assists/ 985 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,630 assists/ 1,121 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,659 assists/ 1,178 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (1,965 points/110 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Pacers have averaged 8.5 fast break points per game (546 points/64 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

The Pacers have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (565 points/31 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Pacers have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (1,210 points/64 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,115 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Rockets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,721 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Rockets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (506 steals/71 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.4

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (644 blocks/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (1,295 blocks/218 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (378 blocks/64 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,565 rebounds/218 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0


Bet now on Pacers vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.