Celtics vs. Cavaliers: Prediction, Odds, Bets For Game 5

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NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 25: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics in action against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on October 25, 2023 in New York City. The Celtics defeated the Knicks 108-104. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm May 15, 2024, 12:02 PM
  • The Boston Celtics will host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday.
  • Boston is favored by 15.5 points in Game 5.
  • The Celtics have a 3-1 series lead.

The Boston Celtics held off a shorthanded Cleveland Cavaliers squad during Monday’s 109-102 victory in Game 4. 

The Celtics, who lead 3-1, now have a chance to finish off the series in Wednesday’s Game 5 and punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Despite missing Donovan Mitchell (calf injury), Cleveland put together an inspired effort against Boston at home. Darius Garland scored 30 points on 12-for-27 shooting. 

The Celtics were led by Jayson Tatum, who finished with 33 points, 11 rebounds, and five assists.

Oddsmakers expect the Celtics to clinch a series victory in convincing fashion, listing them as 15.5-point favorites with an over/under of 205.5.

Here’s a look at the NBA playoff odds and my Game 5 prediction: 

Celtics vs. Cavaliers: Game 5 Odds

  • Celtics moneyline: -1600
  • Cavaliers moneyline: +900
  • Spread: Celtics -15.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 204.5

Celtics vs. Cavaliers: Game 5 Prediction

Pick: Cavaliers +15.5 (-105)

The Celtics have been playing with their food all postseason. They have dropped one home game in both series thus far and have hardly looked overwhelming during the playoffs.

Boston can get away with that in the Eastern Conference playoffs, where it is -650 to reach the NBA Finals. Perhaps it will ultimately catch up to the Celtics, but the betting market is late catching up to their current value.

The Cavs are 2-2 against the spread in this series, covering twice as double-digit underdogs. 

The Celtics, meanwhile, have posted an average coverage margin of -0.8 in the playoffs.

Mitchell remains questionable for Game 5, but if he returns to the lineup, this line would move in Cleveland’s favor. 

Either way, this number is simply too high.

NBA ATS Records 2023-24

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.
Mavericks48-34-0.585
Pacers44-36-3.550
Celtics41-36-5.533
Timberwolves40-40-2.500

NBA Over/Under Records 2023-24

TeamOver RecordOver Pct.Under Pct.
Celtics43-39-0.524.476
Pacers42-39-2.519.482
Timberwolves41-40-1.506.494
Mavericks36-45-1.444.556
BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.