Rockets vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pelicans are -6.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 27-25 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 30-24 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+7.5 -110O 227.5 -110+230
New Orleans Pelicans -7.5 -110U 227.5 -110-300

Pelicans vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Thursday‘s game with 78.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+12.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 away games (+11.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 75 games (+33.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 75 games (+19.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 51 games (+16.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 69 games (+15.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 77 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 27-25 (-0.45 Units / -0.76% ROI).

  • 24-30 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -5.62% ROI)
  • 25-28 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.76% ROI)
  • 28-25 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 30-24 (+3.65 Units / 6.04% ROI).

  • 33-22 against the Moneyline (+6.85 Units / 5.93% ROI)
  • 26-29 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -9.75% ROI)
  • 29-26 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.66% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-21.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 79 games (-15.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 79 games (-11.95 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 71 games (-11.25 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 36 away games (-19.65 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-18.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 37 away games (-17.75 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-13.90 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were 8-19 (.296) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pelicans were 14-20 (.412) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pelicans were 14-22 (.389) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Pelicans were 10-22 (.312) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. RocketsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 22

  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • Cody Zeller (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Fred VanVleet (Houston Rockets): Thigh, Out
  • Reggie Bullock Jr. (Houston Rockets): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Cam Whitmore (Houston Rockets): Ankle, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (113 assists/ 81 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pelicans made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (364/904) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (839/2,578) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (448 steals/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (352/1,087) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.