- The Pelicans (23-14) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (10-27)
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Wednesday, January 4, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSNO & SportsNet SW
The Houston Rockets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans.
The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Rockets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 16-18 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 19-18 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Houston Rockets | +7.5 -115 | O 229.5 -110 | +220 |
New Orleans Pelicans | -7.5 -105 | U 229.5 -110 | -275 |
Pelicans vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 68.2% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Rockets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.61 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 away games (+9.56 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 away games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Pelicans Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+17.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 90 games (+15.91 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 90 games (+14.53 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.13 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+13.41 Units / 12% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 16-18 (-3.8 Units / -9.34% ROI).
- 10-27 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -11.49% ROI)
- 18-19 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -7.13% ROI)
- 19-18 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.97% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 19-18 (-0.8 Units / -1.97% ROI).
- 23-14 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 3.76% ROI)
- 22-15 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 13.51% ROI)
- 15-22 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -22.6% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Pelicans, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 90 games (-26.81 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 89 games (-26.55 Units / -27% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-21.83 Units / -21% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 48 games at home (-21.60 Units / -32% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 89 games (-21.20 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Rockets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 73 games (-22.40 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.07 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-19.95 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 73 games (-18.16 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 81 games (-16.53 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224
The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425
The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432
The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
Injury Report: Pelicans vs. Rockets – Wednesday‘s Game, Jan. 4
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson sustained a right hamstring strain during Monday’s (Jan. 2) game against Philadelphia. He will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
- Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. is out for Wednesday’s (Jan. 4) game against Houston.
- Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram hasn’t played since Nov. 25 against Memphis. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
- Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): Tate remains without a timetable to return, according to Adam Spolane of Sports Radio 610 Houston.
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9
The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1
The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1
The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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