Rockets vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Rockets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | FDSW

The Houston Rockets visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Spurs Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 1-2 against the spread, while the Spurs are 1-1 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-2.5 -115O 218.5 -110-150
San Antonio Spurs +2.5 -105U 218.5 -110+125

Spurs vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Monday‘s game with 78.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Spurs.

Spurs vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 39 away games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+9.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+20.40 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 80 games (+17.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Rockets have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 1-2 against the Moneyline (-3.5 Units / -56.45% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Spurs have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-1 against the Moneyline (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-22.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-17.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 42 games (-16.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 38 away games (-20.95 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 38 away games (-18.20 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-16.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 79 games (-14.85 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 65 games (-13.65 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 3-62 (.046) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .306

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Injury Report: Spurs vs. RocketsMonday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • San Antonio Spurs – No Injuries Reported
  • Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Spurs averaged 23% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,739 free throw attempts/7,593 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed 123.1 points per game (10,092 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9


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