Spurs vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 9

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Spurs logo on the left and Grizzlies logo on the right
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Spurs are -3.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | BSSM

The San Antonio Spurs visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 41-37 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 38-40 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs-4.5 -115O 217.5 -115-190
Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 -105U 217.5 -105+155

Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Tuesday‘s game with 69.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 60.3% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 56 games (+16.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 79 games (+15.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+14.80 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 85 games (+17.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 53 games (+17.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+17.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+15.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 41-37 (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI).

  • 19-59 against the Moneyline (-13.55 Units / -16.39% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • 38-38 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -4.43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 38-40 (-6 Units / -6.99% ROI).

  • 27-51 against the Moneyline (+4.8 Units / 5.4% ROI)
  • 36-42 against the Over for game total points (-10.2 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • 42-36 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 85 games (-29.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-26.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 41 games at home (-21.65 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-19.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-18.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 79 games (-17.05 Units / -21% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .403

The Spurs are 6-35 (.146) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Spurs were 2-23 (.080) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Grizzlies are 9-38 (.191) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Grizzlies were 5-17 (.227) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. SpursTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 9

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (214 assists/ 161 TOs) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 105.9 points per game (8,261 points/78 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,942 assists/ 1,183 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (1,427/3,301) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 52% (1,901/3,693) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies stole the ball 680 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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