- The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
- Watch the game on FDSW | ALT | KTVD
The San Antonio Spurs visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Spurs vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 18-15 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 14-17 against the spread.
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Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| San Antonio Spurs | O | ||
| Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Spurs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.7% confidence.
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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 82 games (+28.87 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (+24.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 82 games (+20.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+15.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+14.27 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 18-15 (+1.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- 17-16 against the Moneyline (+4.25 Units / 9.15% ROI)
- 17-15 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 1.38% ROI)
- 15-17 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -10.19% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 14-17 (-4.7 Units / -13.35% ROI).
- 19-13 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -5.96% ROI)
- 22-10 against the Over for game total points (+11 Units / 31.25% ROI)
- 10-22 against the Under for game total points (-14.2 Units / -40.34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-35.60 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 85 games (-33.70 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 47 games (-25.90 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 54 games (-23.70 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-20.57 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-24.37 Units / -26% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.03 Units / -26% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-18.62 Units / -22% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 77 games (-15.53 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Spurs are 4-68 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .303
The Spurs are 6-53 (.102) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330
The Spurs are 4-19 (.174) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416
The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Nuggets are 69-16 (.812) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 116.5 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 47-22 (.681) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
The Nuggets are 51-12 (.810) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (10,012 points/8,332 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
The Spurs had 20.0 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Spurs had a TS% of 51% last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (121 assists/ 45 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,802 assists/ 1,242 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Nuggets have averaged 31.7 assists per game (1,014 assists/32 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.3
The Nuggets have averaged 58.9 points in the paint per game (1,886 points/32 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 6.9 blocks per game (227 blocks/33 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Spurs have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (747 blocks/115 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Spurs have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,219 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Spurs have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,151 rebounds/115 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,125 rebounds/114 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 8.8 steals per game (282 steals/32 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (146 blocks/32 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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