Spurs vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

  • The Pelicans are -1.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on GCSE | FDSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA, USA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Pelicans Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 24-30 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 22-33 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+2.5 -110O 242.5 -115+110
New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 -110U 242.5 -105-135

Pelicans vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Sunday‘s game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 60 games (+25.87 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 61 games (+17.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 77 games (+15.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+14.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 24-30 (-9 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 24-30 against the Moneyline (-4.95 Units / -6.41% ROI)
  • 29-24 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.38% ROI)
  • 24-29 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -13.3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 22-33 (-14.25 Units / -23.15% ROI).

  • 13-43 against the Moneyline (-29 Units / -39.27% ROI)
  • 32-23 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 10.88% ROI)
  • 23-32 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -19.81% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 71 games (-39.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.82 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-22.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-21.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 64 games (-20.59 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-15.38 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 49 games (-14.91 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 36 away games (-14.62 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 52 games (-12.70 Units / -21% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 4-19 (.174) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416

The Spurs were 9-38 (.191) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Spurs are 12-2 (.857) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-3rd-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Pelicans are 2-6 (.250) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Pelicans are 1-18 (.053) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .295

The Pelicans are 3-22 (.120) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352

The Pelicans are 2-18 (.100) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .410

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (10,012 points/8,332 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (21,134 points/17,126 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs averaged 112.1 points per game (9,192 points/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (103/256) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (343 blocks/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,931 rebounds/53 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Spurs have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (863 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (638 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed 19.3 fast break points per game (1,060 points/55 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.5

The Pelicans have allowed 20.4 fast break points per game (552 points/27 games) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.7


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