- The Suns are -7.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC | ESPN+
The Phoenix Suns visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX, USA.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).
The Suns vs Mavericks Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 22-39 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 30-32 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Phoenix Suns | + + | O Not Found + | + |
Dallas Mavericks | + + | U Not Found + | + |
Mavericks vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 62.7% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 away games (+13.67 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 away games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+11.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 away games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 36 games at home (+17.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 99 games (+15.18 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 22-39 (-20.85 Units / -30.11% ROI).
- 29-34 against the Moneyline (-17 Units / -12.6% ROI)
- 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
- 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-32 (-5.2 Units / -7.39% ROI).
- 32-32 against the Moneyline (+4.4 Units / 3.24% ROI)
- 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-26.27 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games at home (-24.27 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games at home (-19.78 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-17.60 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 55 games (-16.35 Units / -26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 80 games (-32.67 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games (-28.20 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 72 games (-26.55 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 68 games (-20.35 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 66 games (-19.51 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Suns are 1-11 (.083) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .184
The Suns were 13-4 (.765) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Suns were 21-14 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Suns are 24-10 (.706) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Mavericks are 1-13 (.071) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .257
The Mavericks are 40-11 (.784) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692
The Mavericks are 38-23 (.623) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
The Mavericks are undefeated (16-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .898
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 14.1 offensive rebounds per game (891 rebounds/63 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1
The Suns averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns have averaged 6.3 fast break points per game (394 points/63 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 119.2 points per game (9,772 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 16.0 fast break points per game (1,312 points/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Mavericks averaged 12.7 turnovers per game (1,045 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 7.2 steals per game (454 steals/63 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns have averaged 7.3 steals per game (1,064 steals/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Suns blocked 491 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have blocked 374 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Mavericks have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (374 blocks/64 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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