Thunder vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 03, 2024, 6:37 PM
  • The Celtics are -8.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | BSOK | ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Celtics Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 42-31 against the spread, while the Celtics are 39-32 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+10.5 -105O 228.5 -105+400
Boston Celtics -10.5 -115U 228.5 -115-550

Celtics vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Celtics.

Celtics vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.


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  • No trends found
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 35 games at home (+14.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Moneyline in their last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 42-31 (+7.9 Units / 9.71% ROI).

  • 52-22 against the Moneyline (+14.35 Units / 6.09% ROI)
  • 39-31 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 6.01% ROI)
  • 31-39 against the Under for game total points (-11.8 Units / -14.51% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 39-32 (+3.8 Units / 4.67% ROI).

  • 58-16 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 1.19% ROI)
  • 37-36 against the Over for game total points (-2.55 Units / -3.13% ROI)
  • 36-37 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.77% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 49 games at home (-17.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 48 games at home (-11.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 43 games at home (-11.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 49 games at home (-9.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (-8.55 Units / -12% ROI)
  • No trends found

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Thunder are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 22-3 (.880) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .641

The Thunder are 36-15 (.706) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Celtics are 39-8 (.830) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Celtics are 22-3 (.880) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics were 31-1 (.969) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

Injury Report: Celtics vs. ThunderWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 3

  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (508/1,268) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 54% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 18.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,472 rebounds/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.3

The Thunder have allowed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (682 rebounds/75 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (498 blocks/75 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,858 rebounds/75 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,208 points/6,874 shots) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Celtics have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (484 blocks/75 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,970 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.