Thunder vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 25

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Kings Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 44-24 against the spread, while the Kings are 30-38 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
Sacramento Kings U

Kings vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Kings.

Kings vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 68.8% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 86 games (+23.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 87 games (+21.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 53 games (+16.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 42 away games (+16.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games (+14.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.85 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 44-24 (+17.6 Units / 22.22% ROI).

  • 59-13 against the Moneyline (+16.25 Units / 4.03% ROI)
  • 40-31 against the Over for game total points (+5.9 Units / 7.45% ROI)
  • 31-40 against the Under for game total points (-13 Units / -16.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 30-38 (-11.8 Units / -15.11% ROI).

  • 35-36 against the Moneyline (-18.85 Units / -11.52% ROI)
  • 38-32 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 3.59% ROI)
  • 32-38 against the Under for game total points (-9.85 Units / -12.6% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 66 games (-24.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 84 games (-21.95 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 66 games (-20.32 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 36 games at home (-19.03 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 85 games (-18.93 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 53 games (-23.80 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 94 games (-19.32 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-18.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 44 games (-17.90 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 88 games (-16.15 Units / -16% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Thunder are 60-9 (.870) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Thunder are 30-4 (.882) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Thunder are 21-4 (.840) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 87-26 (.770) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Kings were 26-14 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Kings are winless (0-15) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Kings are 52-24 (.684) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Kings are 3-19 (.136) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .250

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (1,876 turnovers/153 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 16.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Kings have made 12.5 three-pointers per game this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Kings are shooting 35% from three (889/2,522) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings made 14.4 three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.5 steals per game (743 steals/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (520 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,300/3,022) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,316/3,032) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (2,117/5,491) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0


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