- The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Nuggets Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 56-32 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 45-47 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -5.5 -110 | O 216.5 -110 | -200 |
| Denver Nuggets | +5.5 -110 | U 216.5 -110 | +165 |
Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 93 games (+21.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 77 games (+21.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 away games (+15.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 31 games (+13.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+12.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+19.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 65 games (+12.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 92 games (+12.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 56-32 (+20.8 Units / 20.55% ROI).
- 75-17 against the Moneyline (+19.2 Units / 3.77% ROI)
- 49-42 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 2.77% ROI)
- 42-49 against the Under for game total points (-11.9 Units / -11.76% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 45-47 (-6.7 Units / -6.48% ROI).
- 56-38 against the Moneyline (+5.25 Units / 2.02% ROI)
- 54-40 against the Over for game total points (+10 Units / 9.67% ROI)
- 40-54 against the Under for game total points (-19.4 Units / -18.76% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 92 games (-27.85 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 96 games (-25.60 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 53 games (-23.05 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 86 games (-22.36 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 89 games (-22.02 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-23.10 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 83 games (-20.31 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-20.25 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 73 games (-19.15 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 94 games (-17.68 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Thunder are 57-10 (.851) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561
The Thunder are 54-6 (.900) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Nuggets are 60-18 (.769) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Nuggets are 11-2 (.846) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
The Nuggets are 24-7 (.774) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Nuggets are 74-13 (.851) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (983 turnovers/83 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have made 11.0 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Nuggets have averaged 29.4 points in the paint per game (4,818 points/164 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (792 steals/83 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,514/3,496) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,241 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Nuggets have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (434 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,977 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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