Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 20

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | ESPN2

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 46-44 against the spread, while the Thunder are 57-33 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Thunder.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 63 games (+25.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 63 games (+19.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 away games (+15.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 24 games (+15.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 94 games (+20.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 79 games (+20.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+15.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 46-44 (-2.45 Units / -2.42% ROI).

  • 57-35 against the Moneyline (-13.2 Units / -3.91% ROI)
  • 49-43 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 1.68% ROI)
  • 43-49 against the Under for game total points (-10.9 Units / -10.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 57-33 (+20.7 Units / 20.02% ROI).

  • 76-18 against the Moneyline (+18.2 Units / 3.54% ROI)
  • 51-42 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 4.64% ROI)
  • 42-51 against the Under for game total points (-14.1 Units / -13.64% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 75 games (-23.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 90 games (-20.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 75 games (-19.65 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 66 games (-19.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-18.87 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 63 games (-24.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-22.57 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 95 games (-22.50 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 94 games (-19.97 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 44 of their last 97 games (-15.55 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves were 25-12 (.676) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Timberwolves are 93-48 (.660) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

The Timberwolves were 21-2 (.913) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Thunder are 54-6 (.900) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder are 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Thunder are 15-2 (.882) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have made 15.0 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (2,270/5,950) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder have averaged 17.2 points per game (844 points/49 games) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,519/3,480) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (792 steals/83 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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