Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 10

  • The Timberwolves are -5.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 200.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Warriors Over/Under is 200.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 44-43 against the spread, while the Warriors are 46-44 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-5.5 -110O 200.5 -105-220
Golden State Warriors +5.5 -110U 200.5 -115+180

Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Warriors.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 60 games (+27.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 60 games (+20.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+13.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 70 games (+14.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games (+14.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 44-43 (-3.35 Units / -3.42% ROI).

  • 54-35 against the Moneyline (-16.2 Units / -4.92% ROI)
  • 47-42 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 0.82% ROI)
  • 42-47 against the Under for game total points (-9.7 Units / -9.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 46-44 (-2.5 Units / -2.47% ROI).

  • 54-38 against the Moneyline (-22.45 Units / -8.81% ROI)
  • 46-46 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 46-46 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 82 games (-49.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 77 games (-30.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-25.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (-22.60 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 91 games (-22.22 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 60 games (-22.75 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 99 games (-21.95 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 99 games (-19.67 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 91 games (-17.92 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 44 of their last 99 games (-17.75 Units / -15% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves are 49-14 (.778) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

The Timberwolves are 51-9 (.850) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Timberwolves are 34-13 (.723) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

The Timberwolves are 21-13 (.618) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors are 24-1 (.960) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

The Warriors are 21-13 (.618) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Warriors are 33-15 (.688) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Warriors are 17-10 (.630) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.1 second chance points per game (1,240 points/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Timberwolves averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,264 points/6,973 shots) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors are shooting 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves stole the ball 647 times last season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,519/3,480) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (371 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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