Trail Blazers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 4

  • The Bucks are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on KUNP | KATU | FDWI

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Trail Blazers vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 16-16 against the spread, while the Bucks are 14-18 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 70 games (+19.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 16-16 (-1.65 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 11-22 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 12.9% ROI)
  • 16-16 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -4.41% ROI)
  • 16-16 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -4.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 14-18 (-5.8 Units / -15.98% ROI).

  • 18-15 against the Moneyline (-11.55 Units / -14.17% ROI)
  • 14-19 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI)
  • 19-14 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 86 games (-59.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 85 games (-26.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-25.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 86 games (-25.10 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 70 games (-30.30 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 63 games (-22.57 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 41 away games (-21.95 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 67 games (-17.80 Units / -25% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Trail Blazers are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .462

The Trail Blazers were 14-33 (.298) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Trail Blazers are 11-49 (.183) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Bucks are 29-14 (.674) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Bucks are 6-4 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Bucks were 28-9 (.757) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Bucks were 34-3 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 104.2 points per game (6,041 points/58 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.8

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,302 assists/ 917 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (514/702) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (665 points/114 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,733 rebounds/115 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,065 rebounds/33 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,179 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,241 steals/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (804 steals/114 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8


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