- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on KUNP | KATU | ALT
The Portland Trail Blazers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 31-21 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 27-25 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Portland Trail Blazers | O | ||
Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 games (+21.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 65 games (+21.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 51 games (+15.06 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 46 games at home (+20.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+18.47 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 31-21 (+7.85 Units / 13.46% ROI).
- 23-30 against the Moneyline (+19.35 Units / 34.99% ROI)
- 25-27 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -8.06% ROI)
- 27-25 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.86% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 27-25 (-0.5 Units / -0.86% ROI).
- 34-19 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI)
- 32-21 against the Over for game total points (+8.9 Units / 15.27% ROI)
- 21-32 against the Under for game total points (-14.2 Units / -24.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (-29.90 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (-29.05 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-24.15 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-19.60 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-19.30 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 81 games (-33.20 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.97 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-20.20 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.55 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 33 away games (-16.45 Units / -43% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Trail Blazers are 2-14 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Trail Blazers are 16-55 (.225) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435
The Trail Blazers are 12-53 (.185) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 53.1 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-highest in the NBA.
The Trail Blazers are 25-74 (.253) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are 35-18 (.660) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Nuggets are 40-16 (.714) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-3rd-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 19-4 (.826) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers have averaged 104.7 points per game (6,908 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.9
The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (176 assists/ 65 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (568 points/53 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,072 points/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,411/4,758) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,420 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers averaged 4.3 blocks per game (354 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,909 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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