Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 10

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on KUNP | KATU | ALT

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 31-21 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 27-25 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 games (+21.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 65 games (+21.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 51 games (+15.06 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 46 games at home (+20.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+18.47 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 31-21 (+7.85 Units / 13.46% ROI).

  • 23-30 against the Moneyline (+19.35 Units / 34.99% ROI)
  • 25-27 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -8.06% ROI)
  • 27-25 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.86% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 27-25 (-0.5 Units / -0.86% ROI).

  • 34-19 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI)
  • 32-21 against the Over for game total points (+8.9 Units / 15.27% ROI)
  • 21-32 against the Under for game total points (-14.2 Units / -24.36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (-29.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (-29.05 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-24.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-19.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-19.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 81 games (-33.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.97 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-20.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 33 away games (-16.45 Units / -43% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Trail Blazers are 2-14 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Trail Blazers are 16-55 (.225) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Trail Blazers are 12-53 (.185) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 53.1 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 25-74 (.253) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Nuggets are 35-18 (.660) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Nuggets are 40-16 (.714) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-3rd-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 19-4 (.826) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 104.7 points per game (6,908 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.9

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (176 assists/ 65 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (568 points/53 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,072 points/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,411/4,758) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,420 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers averaged 4.3 blocks per game (354 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,909 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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