- The Warriors are -6.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | NSBA | FDWI
The Golden State Warriors visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Warriors vs Bucks Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 26-26 against the spread, while the Bucks are 23-28 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | -7.5 -105 | O 230.5 -110 | -275 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | +7.5 -115 | U 230.5 -110 | +225 |
Bucks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Bucks.
Bucks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.6% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 away games (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 away games (+7.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games at home (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 26-26 (-2.7 Units / -4.71% ROI).
- 26-26 against the Moneyline (-12.5 Units / -11.76% ROI)
- 26-26 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 26-26 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 23-28 (-7.8 Units / -13.64% ROI).
- 29-23 against the Moneyline (-16.85 Units / -12.65% ROI)
- 26-26 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 26-26 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 86 games (-56.65 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-28.45 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-25.85 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.05 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 53 games (-18.93 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-31.81 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.70 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 36 games (-20.90 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 53 games (-20.85 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 66 games (-18.12 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Warriors are undefeated (6-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .755
The Warriors are 11-3 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524
The Warriors are 27-3 (.900) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .839
The Warriors were 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Bucks are 14-2 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .755
The Bucks are 35-1 (.972) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .839
The Bucks are 71-28 (.717) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
The Bucks are 48-5 (.906) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 72% from the free throw line (772/1,067) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,644 free throw attempts/7,515 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Warriors are shooting 42% (1,035/2,439) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (278 points/51 games) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (743/1,915) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Bucks have averaged 1.31 points per shot (5,843 points/4,460 shots) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/65 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (820 blocks/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,913 rebounds/51 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,948 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (930 steals/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
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