- The Warriors are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Watch the game on NSBA | NSCA
The Golden State Warriors visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA, USA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Warriors vs Kings Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 28-27 against the spread, while the Kings are 21-31 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | -2.5 -105 | O 236.5 -110 | -140 |
| Sacramento Kings | +2.5 -115 | U 236.5 -110 | +115 |
Kings vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 67.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Kings.
Kings vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+10.53 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 28-27 (-1.8 Units / -2.97% ROI).
- 28-27 against the Moneyline (-13.8 Units / -12.17% ROI)
- 27-28 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)
- 28-27 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 21-31 (-13.1 Units / -21.65% ROI).
- 28-27 against the Moneyline (-16.15 Units / -11.87% ROI)
- 30-24 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 5.96% ROI)
- 24-30 against the Under for game total points (-9.05 Units / -14.95% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-27.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 83 games (-23.90 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.92 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 50 games (-21.22 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.31 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 80 games (-32.11 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.85 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games (-22.05 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 56 games (-21.00 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 39 games (-20.70 Units / -38% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Warriors are undefeated (6-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .754
The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
The Warriors were 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Warriors are 15-12 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Kings are winless (0-16) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .094
The Kings are winless (0-14) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092
The Kings were 16-7 (.696) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Kings are 34-4 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .804
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors have made 15.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (3,800 free throw attempts/17,027 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Warriors are shooting 73% from the free throw line (841/1,150) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings are shooting 33% from three (342/1,039) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Kings have averaged 116.8 points per game (6,423 points/55 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
The Kings had a TS% of 50% in the second half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings averaged 15.0 second chance points per game (617 points/41 games) at home last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (652 blocks/137 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,899 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (739 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings have allowed 5.6 second chance points per game (762 points/137 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
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