Warriors vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

  • The Kings are -7.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | NSBA | NSCA

The Golden State Warriors visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA, USA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Kings Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 20-22 against the spread, while the Kings are 17-22 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+7.5 -110O 229.5 -105+230
Sacramento Kings -7.5 -110U 229.5 -115-295

Kings vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Kings.

Kings vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.7% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+14.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 away games (+14.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+13.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 83 games (+11.02 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+10.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.50 Units / 68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 20-22 (-4.3 Units / -9.29% ROI).

  • 21-21 against the Moneyline (-13.15 Units / -15.01% ROI)
  • 18-24 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 24-18 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 17-22 (-7.2 Units / -15.58% ROI).

  • 22-20 against the Moneyline (-10.25 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 21-20 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -2.17% ROI)
  • 20-21 against the Under for game total points (-3.15 Units / -6.81% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.77 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-23.13 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.16 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 64 games (-16.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 24 games at home (-14.58 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (-27.91 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 70 games (-21.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.20 Units / -21% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Warriors are 15-21 (.417) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Warriors are 38-7 (.844) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 23-2 (.920) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Warriors are 29-18 (.617) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Kings were 30-10 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Kings were 2-5 (.286) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Kings are 22-27 (.449) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Kings were 9-12 (.429) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (594/832) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Warriors are shooting 42% (833/1,974) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (5,207 assists/ 2,524 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Kings had 20.9 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Kings averaged 16.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Kings averaged 23% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,710 free throw attempts/7,455 field goal attempts) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have blocked 223 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have 373 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,539 rebounds/124 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (739 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have allowed 5.4 second chance points per game (674 points/124 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.