- The Timberwolves are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
- Watch the game on NSBA | FDN+ | KARE
The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 15-11 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 11-15 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | O | ||
| Minnesota Timberwolves | U |
Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 76.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+16.83 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 away games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 77 games (+21.28 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 98 games (+10.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 53 of their last 93 games (+8.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 15-11 (+2.8 Units / 9.76% ROI).
- 14-12 against the Moneyline (-6.4 Units / -11.68% ROI)
- 12-14 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI)
- 14-12 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 11-15 (-5.55 Units / -19.37% ROI).
- 14-12 against the Moneyline (-11.15 Units / -15.21% ROI)
- 12-14 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI)
- 14-12 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 68 games (-38.70 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-25.30 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games at home (-22.20 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 93 games (-22.05 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.50 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 66 games (-18.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-17.55 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-17.10 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 63 games (-16.75 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 77 games (-16.50 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Warriors are 4-2 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .523
The Warriors are 28-4 (.875) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820
The Warriors were 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Timberwolves are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.
The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Timberwolves are 30-6 (.833) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (383/545) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have averaged 1.14 points per shot (392 points/344 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Warriors averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,644 free throw attempts/7,515 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (665 points/54 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Timberwolves have averaged 15.1 offensive rebounds per game (393 rebounds/26 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (650 assists/ 412 TOs) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (969 rebounds/26 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Warriors have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,987 rebounds/108 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (512 blocks/108 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%
The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%
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