Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 8

  • The Timberwolves are -10.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 201.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | Max | truTV

The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 201.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 46-43 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 43-43 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+10.5 -110O 201.5 -110+375
Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5 -110U 201.5 -110-500

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games (+16.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+13.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 away games (+10.99 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 59 games (+26.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 59 games (+19.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 46-43 (-1.4 Units / -1.4% ROI).

  • 54-37 against the Moneyline (-21.45 Units / -8.45% ROI)
  • 45-46 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -5.59% ROI)
  • 46-45 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -3.5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 43-43 (-4.35 Units / -4.49% ROI).

  • 53-35 against the Moneyline (-17.2 Units / -5.3% ROI)
  • 46-42 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.21% ROI)
  • 42-46 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -8.88% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games at home (-26.65 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games at home (-24.32 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 98 games (-22.95 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 59 games (-21.60 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-19.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (-48.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 76 games (-29.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-24.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 75 games (-21.60 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-21.10 Units / -25% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors are 25-6 (.806) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Warriors are 49-21 (.700) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Warriors are 30-14 (.682) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 33-27 (.550) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Timberwolves are 34-6 (.850) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703

The Timberwolves are 12-10 (.545) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Warriors have averaged 15.6 second chance points per game (1,277 points/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.30 points per shot (9,372 points/7,182 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,233/3,269) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) last season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (768 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Warriors have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,343 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,760) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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