- The Timberwolves are -10.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 201.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | Max | truTV
The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 201.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 46-43 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 43-43 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | +10.5 -110 | O 201.5 -110 | +375 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | -10.5 -110 | U 201.5 -110 | -500 |
Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games (+16.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+13.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 away games (+10.99 Units / 27% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 59 games (+26.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 59 games (+19.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 46-43 (-1.4 Units / -1.4% ROI).
- 54-37 against the Moneyline (-21.45 Units / -8.45% ROI)
- 45-46 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -5.59% ROI)
- 46-45 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -3.5% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 43-43 (-4.35 Units / -4.49% ROI).
- 53-35 against the Moneyline (-17.2 Units / -5.3% ROI)
- 46-42 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.21% ROI)
- 42-46 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -8.88% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games at home (-26.65 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games at home (-24.32 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 98 games (-22.95 Units / -10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 59 games (-21.60 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-19.15 Units / -33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (-48.70 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 76 games (-29.70 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-24.00 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 75 games (-21.60 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-21.10 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Warriors are 25-6 (.806) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Warriors are 49-21 (.700) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Warriors are 30-14 (.682) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Timberwolves are 33-27 (.550) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Timberwolves are 34-6 (.850) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703
The Timberwolves are 12-10 (.545) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have averaged 15.6 second chance points per game (1,277 points/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves have averaged 1.30 points per shot (9,372 points/7,182 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,233/3,269) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Timberwolves averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) last season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (768 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Warriors have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,343 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,760) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
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