Warriors vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on KUNP | KATU | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR, OR.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 41-37 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 45-34 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
Portland Trail Blazers U

Trail Blazers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 69.8% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 69 games (+18.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+13.38 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 41-37 (+0.2 Units / 0.23% ROI).

  • 47-33 against the Moneyline (-23.6 Units / -10.28% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 45-34 (+7.55 Units / 8.58% ROI).

  • 35-45 against the Moneyline (+16.4 Units / 17.66% ROI)
  • 40-39 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.3% ROI)
  • 39-40 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -5.68% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.72 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 77 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.05 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 70 games (-46.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 65 games (-31.85 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.77 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-19.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 64 games (-19.55 Units / -18% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Warriors are 33-2 (.943) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

The Warriors are 32-15 (.681) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Warriors are 47-9 (.839) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

The Warriors are 10-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Trail Blazers are 6-20 (.231) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Trail Blazers are 7-26 (.212) when losing the rebounding margin this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 54.4 rebounds/game this season — T-3rd-highest in the NBA.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors averaged 15.7 second chance points per game (1,284 points/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Warriors had a TS% of 53% last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.3 steals per game (745 steals/80 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have 1,317 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,841 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,334 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,666 rebounds/80 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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