Wizards vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | MNMT

The Washington Wizards visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Rockets Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 30-34 against the spread, while the Rockets are 34-29 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+8.5 -110O 227.5 -110+280
Houston Rockets -8.5 -110U 227.5 -110-350

Rockets vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Rockets.

Rockets vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 31 away games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 30-34 (-7.4 Units / -10.35% ROI).

  • 11-54 against the Moneyline (-35.4 Units / -52.21% ROI)
  • 31-33 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -7.41% ROI)
  • 33-31 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.54% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 34-29 (+2.1 Units / 2.94% ROI).

  • 30-35 against the Moneyline (+0.3 Units / 0.32% ROI)
  • 28-36 against the Over for game total points (-11.6 Units / -16.21% ROI)
  • 36-28 against the Under for game total points (+5.25 Units / 7.35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-22.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-17.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-14.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 54 games (-14.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 31 games at home (-14.15 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 71 games (-38.90 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 58 games (-20.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 59 games (-16.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 62 games (-12.05 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-11.75 Units / -13% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Wizards are 2-27 (.069) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Wizards are 2-17 (.105) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Wizards are 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 8-19 (.296) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Rockets vs. WizardsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 14

  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (510 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (492 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (602 points/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (1,552 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,529 assists/ 1,010 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (906 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,789 rebounds/53 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Wizards have allowed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/53 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (232 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.