Wizards vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 18

  • The Warriors are -13.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on MMT2 | NSBA

The Washington Wizards visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA, USA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Wizards vs Warriors Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 15-22 against the spread, while the Warriors are 20-20 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+13.5 -115O 229.5 -115+600
Golden State Warriors -13.5 -105U 229.5 -105-900

Warriors vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Warriors.

Warriors vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.03 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+12.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.78 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.42 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 15-22 (-9.2 Units / -21.45% ROI).

  • 6-33 against the Moneyline (-18.35 Units / -47.05% ROI)
  • 21-18 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 18-21 against the Under for game total points (-5.15 Units / -11.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 20-20 (-2.1 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • 20-20 against the Moneyline (-13.15 Units / -16.84% ROI)
  • 17-23 against the Over for game total points (-8.3 Units / -18.86% ROI)
  • 23-17 against the Under for game total points (+4.3 Units / 9.77% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games at home (-28.35 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (-22.41 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-20.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 80 games (-31.64 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 68 games (-31.05 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 82 games (-29.20 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 67 games (-25.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 79 games (-21.80 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are winless (0-14) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386

The Wizards are 5-61 (.076) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428

The Wizards are 10-69 (.127) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Warriors are 7-1 (.875) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Warriors are winless (0-15) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109

The Warriors are 31-4 (.886) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

The Warriors are undefeated (5-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (721/2,125) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards are shooting 33% from three (776/2,349) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (569/797) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors are shooting 42% (797/1,875) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 16.6 second chance points per game (2,007 points/121 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,469 rebounds/122 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,451 rebounds/40 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (359 steals/40 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4


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