Air Force vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

A coach dressed in a black tracksuit, signalling to players
(AP Photo)
  • UNLV is a -14.5 point favorite vs Air Force
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Air Force / UNLV TV channel: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Las Vegas, NV, USA.

UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-118).

The Air Force vs. UNLV Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+14.5 -102O 134.5 -115+875
UNLV -14.5 -118U 134.5 -105-1600

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Air Force vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 15 away games (+3.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.93 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+8.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 7-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.65 Units / -42.01% ROI).

  • 2-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.6 Units / -83.38% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.25 Units / -12.33% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 3.68% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 64.3 points per game (3,410 points/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.7

Air Force has averaged 62.8 points per game (1,507 points/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Air Force has averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (187 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 10.2

Air Force averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (216 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has made 6.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.6

UNLV has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (250 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.7

UNLV has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (250 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

UNLV had 18.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (3,820 points/2,830 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (2,082 points/1,520 shots) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,159 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Air Force averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (614 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (565 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.1

UNLV allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (2,139 points/1,782 shots) last season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

UNLV has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (1,681 points/1,338 shots) this season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

UNLV has allowed 8.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.