Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 29

(AP Photo)
  • Mississippi State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Alabama
  • Total (Over/Under): 164.5 points
  • Alabama / Mississippi State TV channel: SECN

The Alabama Crimson Tide visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Starkville, MS, USA.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 164.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama+1.5 -110O 164.5 -105+100
Mississippi State -1.5 -110U 164.5 -115-120

Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 72.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+7.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.88 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • 15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -1.13% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -13.64% ROI).

  • 16-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 1.06% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1.05 Units / -4.77% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1.05 Units / -4.77% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has 27.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Alabama averaged 89.1 points per game (3,028 points/34 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Alabama has averaged 90.4 points per game (1,807 points/20 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.4

Alabama has averaged 89.5 points per game (4,835 points/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.7

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (750/1,095) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Mississippi State averaged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Mississippi State averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 30.8 defensive rebounds per game (615 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Alabama has averaged 30.8 defensive rebounds per game (615 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Alabama has allowed 78.5 points per game (1,570 points/20 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 68.4

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,542 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 9.6 steals per game (192 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi State has averaged 9.6 steals per game (192 steals/20 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Mississippi State has 192 steals this season — 7th most among Power Conference teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.