- March Madness prediction & betting odds
- North Carolina (21-15) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Alabama (19-15)
- Total (Over/Under): 173.5 points
- Alabama / North Carolina TV channel: CBS
The Alabama Crimson Tide (19-15) visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (21-15) on Mar. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:39pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (+100).
The Alabama vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 173.5 total points.
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Alabama vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama | +4.5 -120 | O 173.5 -110 | +155 |
| North Carolina | -4.5 +100 | U 173.5 -110 | -190 |
Alabama vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Alabama vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 58.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Alabama Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 29 games (+5.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Alabama has a 19-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.55 Units / 6.79% ROI).
- 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 25-9 when betting the Over for +15.1 Units / 40.32% ROI
- 9-25 when betting the Under for -18.45 Units / -49.4% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 21-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.45 Units / 11.21% ROI).
- 24-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.61% ROI
- 18-18 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -4.79% ROI
- 18-18 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -4.56% ROI
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama has made 490 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams
Alabama has made 11.1 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7
Alabama has attempted 1,329 threes at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams
Alabama has averaged 85.6 points per game (5,733 points/67 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has a 36% free throw rate (658 free throw attempts/1,850 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 28%
North Carolina has 961 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 374 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 23.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,990 rebounds/67 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Alabama has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,990 rebounds/67 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.5
Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (296/985) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%
Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (415/1,411) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (396/996) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (961 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
North Carolina has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,907 rebounds/66 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.5
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (833/2,032) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
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