- Alabama is predicted to be a -5.5-point favorite against BYU.
- Alabama has won 14 straight games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- One CBB betting system predicts BYU will cover the spread on Thursday.
On the heels of a dramatic win over Wisconsin, BYU looks to continue its tournament run with a battle against Alabama.
The Cougars survived a late comeback attempt from the Badgers to secure a 91-89 win in the round of 32. Including the regular season, BYU owns an 11-1 record over its last 12 games.
Alabama dispatched St. Mary’s in the round of 32 with an 80-66 victory. It marks the fifth straight game the Crimson Tide notched at least 80 points.
Bet on Alabama vs. BYU and other March Madness matchups with up-to-date college basketball odds.
Alabama vs. BYU Odds, March Madness
- Alabama Moneyline: -220
- BYU Moneyline: +180
- Game Spread: Alabama -5.5 (-110), BYU +5.5 (-110)
- Game Over/Under: 175.5 Points (-115/-105)
Alabama vs. BYU Prediction
Based on one historically profitable NCAAB betting system, the Alabama vs. BYU prediction for Thursday’s game is the BYU Spread (+4.5, -110).
Generally, Alabama likes to push the pace and run, while BYU possesses a comparatively slower offense.
History tells college basketball bettors that, in those situations, it’s wise to bet the underdog in the NCAA Tournament.
Underdogs with a pace average between 65.8 and 69.9 are 48-24-3 (66.7%) ATS, assuming the opponent’s pace average falls between 72.1 and 76.3.
The system also improves in BYU’s favor as underdogs with a slower pace in the aforementioned range tend to cover at a higher rate.
Shrink the sample down to games where the dog’s pace falls between 65.8 and 67.4 – BYU comes in at 66.8 – and the dog improves to 16-4-1 ATS.
That system has simultaneously improved recently, with dogs covering 12 of the previous 13 qualifying games, including five of five with a pace average south of 67.6.
As a result, bettors should consider taking the points with the Cougars on Thursday.
Alabama vs. BYU: NCAAB Public Betting
| Team | Bets% (ATS) | Money% (ATS) | Bets% (ML) | Money% (ML) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 49% | 41% | 64% | 41% |
| Alabama | 51% | 59% | 36% | 59% |
