Arizona vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

Baylor basketball team coach.
(AP Photo)
  • Baylor is a -1.5 point favorite vs Arizona
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Arizona / Baylor TV channel: ESPN

The Arizona Wildcats visit Foster Pavilion to take on the Baylor Bears on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Waco, TX, USA.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Arizona vs. Baylor Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Arizona vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona+1.5 -110O 150.5 -110+100
Baylor -1.5 -110U 150.5 -110-120

Arizona vs Baylor Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this college basketball game with 71.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arizona vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+5.50 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 37 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+3.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.92 Units / 14% ROI)

Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.72% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -2.77% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.9% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.35 Units / -15.85% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -16.6% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.1 Units / 19.1% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.35 Units / -28% ROI

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona averaged 18.5 assists per game (611 assists/33 games) last season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Arizona has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (186 assists/ 110 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Arizona averaged 85.7 points per game (2,829 points/33 games) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Arizona averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (443 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor shot 39% from three (38/97) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (707 rebounds/25 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Arizona has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,681 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Arizona has averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (707 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Arizona averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (974 rebounds/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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