Auburn vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 4

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • Duke is a -2.5 point favorite vs Auburn
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Auburn / Duke TV channel: ESPN

The Auburn Tigers visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Dec. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:15pm EST in Durham, NC.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Auburn vs. Duke Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn+2.5 -110O 146.5 -110+125
Duke -2.5 -110U 146.5 -110-150

Auburn vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Auburn vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+16.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+8.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.89 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 35 games (+17.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+0.85 Units / 0% ROI)

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has a 5-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 50% ROI).

  • 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 1.43% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.19% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (592 assists/ 354 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Auburn averaged 83.5 points per game (2,754 points/33 games) last season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Auburn had 23.6 free throw attempts per game last season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Auburn averaged 17.9 assists per game (592 assists/33 games) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke shot 41% from three (153/372) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (541 assists/ 342 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke shot 48% (983/2,060) last season — 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Duke had a TS% of 50% last season — 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 38% (530/1,406) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (137/457) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Auburn allowed opponents to shoot 38% (735/1,916) last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Auburn averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (889 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke stole the ball 228 times last season — 4th most among ACC Teams

Duke allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Duke allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (2,316 points/1,994 shots) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Duke allowed 66.2 points per game (2,316 points/35 games) last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.