Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:06 AM
  • Tennessee (18-4) are -9.5 point favorites vs Auburn (17-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Auburn Tigers (17-5) visit Thompson-Boling Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (18-4) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Knoxville.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Auburn vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn+9.5 -110O 134.5 -115+375
Tennessee -9.5 -110U 134.5 -105-500

Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 70.1% confidence.

Auburn vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+5.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has gone 11-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 6.8% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.15 Units / 21.24% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.64% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has gone 13-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -15.9% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn is shooting 29% from three (178/605) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Auburn has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (719 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Auburn has a 33% free throw rate (1,151 free throw attempts/3,453 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 44th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Auburn has averaged 14.8 assists per game (325 assists/22 games) this season — tied for 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.8

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has 688 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee has averaged 16.7 assists per game (952 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.8

Tennessee has 952 assists since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee is shooting 36% from three (326/914) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has averaged 8.2 steals per game (462 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Auburn has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,514 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Auburn has 179 steals this season — 5th most among SEC Teams

Auburn has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (204 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Tennessee has 530 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Power Conference teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.