Baylor vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

Houston guard Terrance Arceneaux (23) hangs on the rim after his slam dunk against Butler during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
(AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
  • Houston is a -9.5 point favorite vs Baylor
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Baylor / Houston TV channel: ESPN

The Baylor Bears visit Fertitta Center to take on the Houston Cougars on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Houston, TX, USA.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-102).

The Baylor vs. Houston Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+9.5 -118O 132.5 -105+340
Houston -9.5 -102U 132.5 -115-450

Baylor vs Houston Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+1.00 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 35 games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+11.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 37 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -9.05% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.68% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -21.58% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.25% ROI).

  • 19-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -21.26% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.3% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Baylor shot 51% (466/912) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (325 turnovers/36 games) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Houston averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (325 turnovers/36 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Houston has averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (536 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Houston has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/148) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has allowed 25.1 points per game (578 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32.0

Houston has allowed 60.4 points per game (966 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.6

Houston allowed 57.5 points per game (2,070 points/36 games) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Houston averaged 9.9 steals per game (357 steals/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.