Baylor vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:12 AM
  • Texas (5-12) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Baylor (10-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Baylor / Texas TV channel: ESPN

The Baylor Bears (10-5) visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (5-12) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Austin, TX.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Baylor vs. Texas Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+2.5 -110O 145.5 -110+120
Texas -2.5 -110U 145.5 -110-145

Baylor vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+4.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games at home (+18.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+6.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+2.00 Units / 7% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / 25.57% ROI).

  • 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 9.7% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.95 Units / -5.35% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.58% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 5-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.2 Units / -43.85% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -3.62% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.06% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -9.68% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Baylor has made 9.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Baylor has averaged 1.51 points per shot (748 points/496 shots) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.37

Baylor has an eFG% of 57% at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 54%

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas shot 42% from inside the arc (47/113) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Texas averaged 1.28 points per shot (429 points/335 shots) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Texas shot 54% from three (14/26) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Texas averaged 1.4 turnovers per game (26 turnovers/18 games) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.2

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/148) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three off the dribble (14/38) in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.