Boise State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

(AP Photo)
  • Boise State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Nevada
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Boise State / Nevada TV channel: FS1

The Boise State Broncos visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Reno, NV, USA.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Boise State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State-1.5 +105O 135.5 -105-110
Nevada +1.5 -130U 135.5 -115-110

Boise State vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boise State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 57.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+2.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.15 Units / -0.54% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.4% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.09% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.39% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -3.95% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -12.2% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.81% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has a 39% free throw rate (568 free throw attempts/1,442 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State has averaged 76.3 points per game (1,985 points/26 games) this season — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.3

Boise State has 21.8 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.7

Boise State averaged 74.7 points per game (2,242 points/30 games) last season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has a 41% free throw rate (1,350 free throw attempts/3,257 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,582 points/1,860 shots) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada had 24.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State allowed 66.0 points per game (1,979 points/30 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Boise State has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Boise State allowed 66.0 points per game (1,979 points/30 games) last season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Boise State has averaged 26.2 defensive rebounds per game (681 rebounds/26 games) this season — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (223/616) this season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada allowed opponents to shoot 42% (790/1,886) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (607 rebounds/26 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Nevada has forced 13.0 turnovers per game (338 turnovers/26 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.4


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