Boise State vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 10:43 AM
  • New Mexico (15-5) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Boise State (8-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Boise State / New Mexico TV channel: FS1

The Boise State Broncos (8-9) visit The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos (15-5) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Albuquerque, NM.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Boise State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State+10.5 -105O 150.5 -110+450
New Mexico -10.5 -115U 150.5 -110-650

Boise State vs New Mexico Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boise State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+4.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 6.9% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.95 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units / -4.56% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 13-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI).

  • 15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 3.38% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (621 assists/ 605 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Boise State has an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 54%

Boise State has averaged 73.5 points per game (1,396 points/19 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Boise State has averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (228 turnovers/19 games) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has made 6.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has 23.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

New Mexico has averaged 82.2 points per game (4,522 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.4

New Mexico has averaged 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (254 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed 65.2 points per game (1,238 points/19 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Boise State has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,436 points/2,976 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Boise State has allowed 64.8 points per game (3,436 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 68.9

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 10.1 steals per game (212 steals/21 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.9

New Mexico has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (338 turnovers/21 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.7

New Mexico has 212 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico has averaged 10.1 steals per game (212 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.