Boise State vs San Jose State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2023, 11:41 AM
  • Boise State (22-6) is a -3.5 point favorite vs San Jose State (16-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Watch the game on MW Network

The Boise State Broncos (22-6) visit Provident Credit Union Event Center to take on the San Jose State Spartans (16-12) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in San Jose.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Boise State vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State-3.5 -110O 132.5 -110-175
San Jose State +3.5 -110U 132.5 -110+145

Boise State vs San Jose State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 58.2% confidence.

Boise State vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise State and San Jose State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 50 games (+30.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • San José State have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 34 games (+16.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • San José State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has gone 14-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 20-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.7 Units / 12.48% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.45% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.69% ROI

San Jose State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Jose State has gone 15-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 17.38% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Boise State has averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Boise State has a TS% of 55% in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Boise State has made 5.2 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 5.1

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has a 24% free throw rate (712 free throw attempts/2,943 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 32%

San Jose State has averaged 0.80 points per shot (90 points/112 shots) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.00

San Jose State is shooting 27% from three (30/112) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

San Jose State has made 3.7 three-pointers per game in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 2.8

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,396 points/1,302 shots) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,396 points/1,302 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (518/1,302) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (3,526 points/3,157 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has forced 7.7 turnovers per game (169 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

San Jose State has averaged 3.5 steals per game (77 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.1

San Jose State has forced 9.3 turnovers per game (495 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

San Jose State has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,457 points/22 games) this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.