Butler vs St. John’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2023, 10:48 AM
  • St. John’s (17-14)) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Butler (14-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Watch the 1st Round of the Big East Tournament on Fox Sports 1

The Butler Bulldogs (14-17) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the St. John’s Red Storm (17-14) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in New York.

St. John’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Butler vs. St. John’s Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Butler vs. St. John’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Butler+5.5 -110O 143.5 -115+195
St. John’s -5.5 -110U 143.5 -105-250

Butler vs St. John’s Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts St. John’s will win this game with 64.6% confidence.

Butler vs St. John’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Butler will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Butler and St. John’s, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Butler have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 24 away games (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • St. John’s has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • St. John’s have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has gone 14-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -5.7% ROI
  • 9-21 when betting the Over for -14.1 Units / -41.35% ROI
  • 21-9 when betting the Under for +11.1 Units / 32.55% ROI

St. John’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

St. John’s has gone 13-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.8 Units / -19.91% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 7.36% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 4.99% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -13.49% ROI

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has averaged 65.2 points per game (3,650 points/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 73.5

Butler has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Butler has averaged 67.5 points per game (2,229 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 75.7

Butler has averaged 33.9 points per game (1,896 points/56 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 38.1

St. John’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

St. John’s has averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (301 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

St. John’s is shooting 68% from the free throw line (653/967) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

St. John’s has averaged 17.3 assists per game (949 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 13.8

St. John’s has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (315 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (168/590) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,567 points/1,366 shots) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Butler has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Butler has allowed 68.1 points per game (1,567 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 70.6

St. John’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

St. John’s has averaged 9.4 steals per game (329 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.2

St. John’s has 198 steals this season — 7th most among Power Conference teams

St. John’s has 482 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Big East Teams

St. John’s has averaged 8.8 steals per game (482 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.