BYU vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2023, 11:33 AM
  • Saint Mary’s (25-6) is a -7.5 point favorite vs (0-0)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The BYU Cougars (19-14) visit Orleans Arena to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels (25-6) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Las Vegas.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The BYU vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
BYU+7.5 -115O 128.5 -110+260
Saint Mary’s -7.5 -105U 128.5 -110-350

BYU vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this game with 64.6% confidence.

BYU vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts BYU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Saint Mary’s, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • BYU has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 48 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)

BYU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

BYU has gone 18-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -8.39% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has gone 15-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 23-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends:

BYU has 378 turnovers this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

BYU has averaged 15.1 turnovers per game (378 turnovers/25 games) this season — 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

BYU has averaged 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (275 rebounds/25 games) this season — 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

BYU has averaged 15.2 assists per game (379 assists/25 games) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s is shooting 38% from three (189/503) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Saint Mary’s has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Saint Mary’s has averaged 11.1 turnovers per game (644 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Saint Mary’s is shooting 46% (1,512/3,268) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends:

BYU has forced 14.2 turnovers per game (355 turnovers/25 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8

BYU has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (690 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

BYU has 189 steals this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

BYU has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (181/531) this season — 4th best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 35%

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has averaged 7.5 steals per game (180 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Saint Mary’s has 180 steals this season — tied for 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s has averaged 7.2 steals per game (415 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Saint Mary’s has 415 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.