Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2023, 12:42 PM
  • Long Beach State (17-15) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly (7-24)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs (7-24) visit Dollar Loan Center to take on the Long Beach State Beach (17-15) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 11:30pm EST in Henderson.

Long Beach State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

Bet now on Long Beach State vs Cal Poly & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal PolySlo +9.5 -110O 136.5 -110+360
Long Beach State -9.5 -110U 136.5 -110-500

Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Long Beach State will win this game with 68.4% confidence.

Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cal Poly will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Cal Poly and Long Beach State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Long Beach State vs Cal Poly and all games with BetMGM


  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+13.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+13.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+11.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Long Beach State have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.60 Units / 13% ROI)

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has gone 16-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.32% ROI).

  • 5-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -55.51% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Over for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Under for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI

Long Beach State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Long Beach State has gone 13-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -3.77% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (233 assists/ 319 TOs) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Cal Poly has averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (722 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Cal Poly has averaged 60.7 points per game (1,397 points/23 games) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Cal Poly has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (528 assists/ 722 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Long Beach State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Long Beach State has made 4.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Long Beach State is shooting 66% from the free throw line (297/453) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 71%

Long Beach State is shooting 28% from three (101/356) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Long Beach State has 21.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 22.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Cal Poly has averaged 5.5 steals per game (126 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Cal Poly has averaged 5.5 steals per game (126 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Cal Poly has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,193 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Long Beach State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Long Beach State has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Long Beach State has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Long Beach State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (174 steals/23 games) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Long Beach State has averaged 7.2 steals per game (406 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.1


Bet now on Long Beach State vs Cal Poly and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.