- Saint Mary’s is a -21.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly
- Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
- Cal Poly / Saint Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+
The Cal Poly Mustangs visit University Credit Union Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Nov. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Moraga, CA.
Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-105).
The Cal Poly vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 150.5 total points.
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Cal Poly vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cal Poly | +21.5 -115 | O 150.5 -115 | +1500 |
| Saint Mary’s | -21.5 -105 | U 150.5 -105 | -5000 |
Cal Poly vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Cal Poly vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Cal Poly Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cal Poly have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- Cal Poly have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Saint Mary’s Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+22.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+6.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Cal Poly has a 4-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 9% ROI
- 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Saint Mary’s has a 1-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 3.49% ROI
- 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:
Cal Poly shot 44% from inside the arc (431/985) last season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Cal Poly averaged 63.0 points per game (1,891 points/30 games) last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72.6
Cal Poly averaged 63.0 points per game (1,891 points/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Cal Poly had an eFG% of 45% last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 50%
Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Saint Mary’s had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (468 assists/ 317 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Saint Mary’s shot 46% (820/1,772) last season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%
Saint Mary’s averaged 15.6 assists per game (468 assists/30 games) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:
Cal Poly averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (621 rebounds/30 games) last season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Cal Poly averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (621 rebounds/30 games) last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8
Cal Poly averaged 5.4 steals per game (161 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Cal Poly averaged 5.4 steals per game (161 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Saint Mary’s averaged 6.7 steals per game (200 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 5.8
Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 71.7
Saint Mary’s allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
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